Dilemmas of modelling and decision-making in environmental research

Last modified: 
December 13, 2019 - 8:09pm
Type: Journal Article
Year of publication: 2018
Date published: 01/2018
Authors: Andrew Allison, Mark Dickson, Karen Fisher, Simon Thrush
Journal title: Environmental Modelling & Software
Volume: 99
Pages: 147 - 155
ISSN: 13648152

Multiple dilemmas confound social-ecological modelling. This review paper focuses on two: a modeller's dilemma associated with determining appropriate levels of model simplification, and a dilemma of decision-making relating to the use of models that were never designed to predict. We analyse approaches for addressing these dilemmas as they relate to shallow coastal systems and conclude that wicked problems cannot be adequately addressed using traditional disciplinary or systems engineering modelling. Simplified inter- and trans-disciplinary models have the potential to identify directions of system change, challenge thinking in disciplinary silos, and ultimately confront the dilemmas of social-ecological modelling.

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